PROBABILITY ANALYSIS OF DRY AND WET SPELLS AT SANGLI DISTRICT

	M. K. Patil Padmabhushan Vasantraodada Patil Mahavidyalaya, Kavathe Mahankal, Dist : Sangli , India. View Profile Visit Site

Abstract :

The study is carried out for weekly rainfall for the period from 1981 to 2012 at ten stations of Sangli District. Markov chain probability model has been used extensively to determine the long-term frequency behaviour of wet and dry weather spells. The probabilities occurrence of two or more dry/wet weeks preceded by dry/wet weeks has been evaluated. The probabilities of two or more consecutive dry/wet weeks have been worked out. Some interesting findings are discussed.

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